Race 7 · Horseshoe Indianapolispool vs model · Mon 5 Oct 2026
pool sharemodeledge, pts
  1. 5TARSHEA (IRE)-4.229% · 33%
  2. 2FORGET ABOUT YOU (IRE)-4.714% · 19%
  3. 4NOSHAMETOHERGAME (USA)-1.17% · 8%
  4. 10MOON LAW (USA)-1.27% · 8%
  5. 6RHAPSODY IN MOTION (USA)-3.06% · 9%
  6. 11DREAMING OF JOY (USA) (Koşmaz)+5.86% · 0%
  7. 15HAVANA RUM (USA) (Koşmaz)+5.05% · 0%
Result pending · record

Finger Lakes, Horseshoe Indianapolis, Philadelphia picks — Tue 6 Oct 2026

Free horse racing picks for today's US cards: tote pool share plus sixteen form layers measured on 7,572 races, for every US track carried on the Turkish tote. Our ranks are written before the first race and scored after it: the record.

25 races today · 11 days on file · walk-forward test on 6,972 races out of sample · how it scored

Tue 6 Oct 2026 · 3 tracks0 usable of 25 races · model overturns the favourite in 0Written Mon 05 Oct 2026, 15:12 ET · permalink

Pools not open yet

The Turkish tote opens its win pool on these 25 US races on the morning of the card (it stays thin until close to post time). This page was written from the race cards alone; verdicts and pool shares fill in about an hour before each track’s first race, once the pool has formed. Meanwhile: yesterday's results · the record.

Today · Tue 6 Oct 2026

25 races across Finger Lakes, Horseshoe Indianapolis, Philadelphia. Rank = combined model (1 best); pool = TJK win-pool share when the page was written; edge = model minus pool, in points.

Race 1 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 7I'M SOLO N IN LOVE (USA)JOEL CRUZ · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4TREW VIOLENCE (USA)LUIS PENA · JOHN A. GRABOWSKI · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5SOLO DANCING (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · RALPH D'ALESSANDRO · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3INSTANT SUCCESS (USA)KEIBER J. COA · RALPH D'ALESSANDRO · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2NOTFANUTIN (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · KATLYNN GUTTERSON · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6BOLT TO RUN (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · RAMON VAZQUEZ, SR. · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1GOING HOME NOW (USA)CHRIS RUSSELL · JUDY E. TURETSKY · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 2 · Finger Lakes · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8CINNAMON SUGAR (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6LOLLIPOPS (USA)LUIS PENA · JOHN A. GRABOWSKI · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3JESSICA'S RACE (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 5BIG ADVANTAGE (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7CHANGE ORDER (USA)NAZARIO ALVARADO · ILMAR LOAIZA · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2ONLY IN MY DREAMS (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · DAVID OYOLA · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1CLASSIWEST (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · KATLYNN GUTTERSON · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 4CUE THE MUSIC (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · EDUARDO MAVER, JR. · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 3 · Finger Lakes · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 5HEADS OR TAILS (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7MAX FOSTER (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · DAVID OYOLA · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4ALLO ENRY (USA)KEIBER J. COA · JON G. ARNETT · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3HE HAS IT ALL (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · JOSEPH E. MARINO · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2FATHER WALSH (USA)CHRIS RUSSELL · MICHAEL T. SABINE · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6INVALUABLE WILL (USA)BEN S. JOSEPH · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 8SMOKIN' ALONE (USA)JOHN C. BERRIOS · MICHAEL T. SABINE · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 1MISTER J T (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · KARL M. GRUSMARK · draw 1 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 4 · Finger Lakes · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Allowance, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4GRAMMA G G (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7LIGHT THE MIRA (USA)JOEL CRUZ · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6HONORABLE BECKY (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · RICHARD SHAFFER · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2GRESHAM'S LAW (USA)KEIBER J. COA · MICHAEL S. FERRARO · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 5TENACIOUS CHILD (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · RACHEL SELLS · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 1PLAYINGON BROADWAY (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3MERMAID MAGIC (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · JOSE M. JIMENEZ · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 8KOZY BEE (USA)STEVEN FRET · KATLYNN GUTTERSON · draw 8 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 5 · Finger Lakes · 9 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Maiden · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 9 of 9 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4MR. POOLS (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1GITOLE (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3BIG EGO (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 7SUNSHINE BOBALOU (USA)JOEL CRUZ · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 8TAQUEETO JONES (USA)J. M. ROHENA · RAFAEL JOSE ROHENA · draw 8 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 9TONY HOOKS (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · JAMES S. ACQUILANO · draw 9 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 6ALWAYS PACKEN (USA)KEIBER J. COA · BRUCE N. LEVINE · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 2WINGO STARR (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · WILLIAM H. BARTLETT · draw 2 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 5BARACUDABOBBI (USA)STEVEN FRET · LISA A. REED · draw 5 · pool — · market #9—#9

Race 6 · Finger Lakes · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 5KEIGS (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6PAINT THE LINE (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · TIMOTHY P. MURPHY · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 1LIMIT UP (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 1 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2MORNING CUP (USA)KEIBER J. COA · JON G. ARNETT · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7EMERALD FOREST (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 8SHARPAZ (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 8 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3MONOMOY BEACH (USA)JOEL CRUZ · BETH MILLER-SAUL · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 4MUAZARAH (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · DEWIGHT J. WADAMS · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 7 · Finger Lakes · 11 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Dirt · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 11 of 11 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2POPPY'S TICKET (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 8ARCH'S ASSAULT (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 8 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4ISOLA D'ORO (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · LISA L. LUGOVICH · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 10FOLLOWILL (USA)KEIBER J. COA · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 10 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3MAGIC BEACH (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 1RUMBLYOUNGMANRUMBL (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 9BY MINK STANDARDS (USA)JOEL CRUZ · PATRICK BARATTA · draw 9 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7START THE DAY (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 6SUNDAY'S CURRENCY (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · ARCADIO LOPEZ · draw 6 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 11JAKE'S ORCHARD (USA)STEVEN FRET · STACY TORELLI · draw 11 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 5CALL SAUL (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · STEPHEN P. UBBINK · draw 5 · pool — · market #11—#11

Race 8 · Finger Lakes · 10 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 10 of 10 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6LA DINAMITA (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · JEREMIAH C. ENGLEHART · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7FUNNY FORECAST (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4BLUESETTE (USA)JOEL CRUZ · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 9VOLAMO (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · JAMES S. ACQUILANO · draw 9 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 1BOUNTY KILLAH (USA)JOSE VENTURA · ILMAR LOAIZA · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 8CANDY IS DANDY (CAN)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · DAVID OYOLA · draw 8 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 2WILDCAT ANNIE (USA)J. M. ROHENA · TAMARA HOUSEL · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 3IMMORTAL POET (GB)NAZARIO ALVARADO · THALIA ARECHE · draw 3 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 5HONEY IN THE BANK (USA)JOHN C. BERRIOS · THALIA ARECHE · draw 5 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 10OUTTA THE CLOUD (USA)BEN S. JOSEPH · VICTOR DEAN III · draw 10 · pool — · market #10—#10

Race 1 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Maiden, fillies & mares · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 6 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6MAID OF STEEL (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · AARON M. WEST · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1LADY BIZ (USA)SUMMER PAULY · ED MOGER, JR. · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5CALL HER MAJESTY (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · EDWARD VAUGHAN · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3ROSIE SPOONBILL (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · WILLIAM E. MOREY · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2MY CHICKADEE (USA)ALEX ACHARD · HUGO RODRIGUEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 4LADY MAXIMUM (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · SERGIO DON JUAN · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 8LA MISTERIOSA (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · KELLY A. FERNANDEZ · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7KIMBERLY'S PASSION (USA)IRVING MONCADA · JOSEPH D. DAVIS · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 2 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Maiden, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 5 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 7SOMPATRA (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · TIM EGGLESTON · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2IT'STHEONLYWAYTOGO (USA)VICTOR LARA · ANTHONY J. GRANITZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3SWEET SAHARA (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · TERRY VAUGHN · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 4ONE THIRSTY LOVER (USA)ANDRES P. ULLOA · ROBERT M. GORHAM · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 1ONELILCONQUEST (USA)ORLANDO MOJICA · RAYMOND J. PAQUETTE III · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5TAPIT CHARM (USA)JOSEPH C. BEALMEAR · TERRY VAUGHN · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 6LUNAR SKY (USA)HANNAH LEAHEY · DARLENE GREEN · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 3 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1WHAT ABOUT NOW (USA)ORLANDO MOJICA · TIM EGGLESTON · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7AIR UP THERE (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · TIM EGGLESTON · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5ROCKIN ROCIO (USA)VICTOR LARA · CIPRIANO CONTRERAS · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 4ESTRELLA BRILLANTE (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · JOHN HARAN · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 6GIO'S BABY GIRL (USA)ALEX ACHARD · RON D. HERRELL · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2B ON THE LOOSE (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · JONATHAN NANCE · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3SORRY NOT SORRY (USA)JOSEPH C. BEALMEAR · MICHAEL E. LAUER · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 4 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 13 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Turf · Maiden claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 13 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6AMANI'S MUSIC (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · BRAD H. COX · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2SHARP MINDSET (USA)AXEL CONCEPCION · JOE SHARP · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 7DONNA STRADA (USA)IRVING MONCADA · TOMMY HUMPHRIES · draw 7 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 5VOLATILE SPARK (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · WILLIAM E. GALLAGHER · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 1BEAU CUP (USA)YEDSIT HAZLEWOOD · KELSEY DANNER · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 10CHERRY SPRINGS (USA)DANNY SHEEHY · CHRIS A. HARTMAN · draw 10 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 11WEFT (USA)ALEX ACHARD · ETHAN W. WEST · draw 11 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 13TECTONIC (USA)MIA NICHOLLS · JUSTIN WOJCZYNSKI · draw 13 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 4ASTRONOVA (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · GREGORY D. FOLEY · draw 4 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 8JUNO PALACE (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · SERGIO DON JUAN · draw 8 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 9CATNIP HILL (USA)VICTOR LARA · FRANK K. HORVATH · draw 9 · pool — · market #11—#11
  12. 12LAYTHATPISTOLDOWN (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · CHRIS M. BLOCK · draw 12 · pool — · market #12—#12
  13. 3FIGURINE (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · JAY J. HOLDEN · draw 3 · pool — · market #13—#13

Race 5 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 11 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 9 of 11 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1POP PAUL (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2CARTIER TOMCAT (USA)MICAH MEEKS · JOSE M. CAMEJO · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 11SPECTACLE (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · JAMES M. WATKINS · draw 11 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 9DAUWE (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · ESTEBAN GORDILLO · draw 9 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 5TRUST THE WORD (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · GENNADI DOROCHENKO · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7LONGSTRIDER (USA)VICTOR LARA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4REFLEX (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · JOHN HARAN · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 6CARDINAL UNION (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · THOMAS L. VAN BERG · draw 6 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 10THE EXODUS TWIST (USA)SANTO SANJUR · EMMA JIMENEZ SANCHEZ · draw 10 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 8WHATNOWDADDY (USA)JOSE RAMOS GUTIERREZ · JOHN HARAN · draw 8 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 3GOOD CIVILIAN (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · AMARA KRANZ · draw 3 · pool — · market #11—#11

Race 6 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 14 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Turf · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 14 of 14 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 14MAKI MONARCHY (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · ALEXIS CLAIRE · draw 14 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 13MASTER MUNNINGS (USA)AXEL CONCEPCION · JOE SHARP · draw 13 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 9WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE)AMIR MENDOZA · CHRIS BANKS · draw 9 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2BRIT'S WIT (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · MICHAEL J. MAKER · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 12GOT STRIPES (USA)EDGAR MORALES · ALEXIS CLAIRE · draw 12 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 8MISSIONARY MAN (USA)DANNY SHEEHY · ANNA M. MEAH · draw 8 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 5BORN FLASHY (USA)SAMUEL E. BERMUDEZ · TRACEY J. WISNER · draw 5 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 3ELEVATED GAME (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · RANDY MATTHEWS · draw 3 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 4ADIOS ASHWOOD (USA)JOSEPH M. ROMERO · RENE CAZARES, JR. · draw 4 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 1MONUMENTALJUSTICE (USA)SANTO SANJUR · TOMAS MEDINA · draw 1 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 6SUMMER LOVER (USA)MICAH MEEKS · MIGUEL ANGEL SILVA · draw 6 · pool — · market #11—#11
  12. 7REVS MEDAL (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · TERRY PHILLIPS · draw 7 · pool — · market #12—#12
  13. 10SCOVILLE (USA)ORLANDO BOCACHICA · KARA LIN MCGUIRE · draw 10 · pool — · market #13—#13
  14. 11NEW YEAR SURPRISE (USA)JOSEPH M. ROMERO · AGUSTIN GONZALEZ, JR. · draw 11 · pool — · market #14—#14

Race 7 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 10 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Allowance, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 10 of 10 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1FOXY JUSTICE (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 5PRAYER UNBRIDLED (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · TERRY PHILLIPS · draw 5 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6OVER AND ABOVE (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · SHANNON MCGOVERN · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 8SWEET SUMMERTIME (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · MIGUEL ANGEL SILVA · draw 8 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7RUMORS ARE FLYING (USA)ALBERTO BURGOS · ROBERT E. DOBBS, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3THEORETICALLY (USA)VICTOR LARA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 2TAP BONNET (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · ANTHONY J. GRANITZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 9TROGLODYTE (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · ROBERT E. DOBBS, JR. · draw 9 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 4A LONG WINTERS NAP (USA)IRVING MONCADA · ROBERT E. DOBBS, JR. · draw 4 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 10DREAMING BONITA (USA)JOSEPH M. ROMERO · RENE CAZARES, JR. · draw 10 · pool — · market #10—#10

Race 8 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 13 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Turf · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 11 of 13 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8BREAKAWAY (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · BRAD H. COX · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6BON TEMPS (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · CIPRIANO CONTRERAS · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 2MAGNOLIA WEST (USA)AXEL CONCEPCION · JOE SHARP · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 12RAMBLIN (USA)ALBERTO BURGOS · PAULO H. LOBO · draw 12 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7HYPERBOLIZE (USA)DYLAN MACHADO · ETHAN W. WEST · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3CLEAR THE BEACH (USA)YEDSIT HAZLEWOOD · KELSEY DANNER · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 10THEODORE GEORGE (USA)EDGAR MORALES · MICHAEL W. MCCARTHY · draw 10 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 5OH PLEASE (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · MICHELLE L. ELLIOTT · draw 5 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 1BERLONE (USA)ALEX ACHARD · RAYMOND J. PAQUETTE III · draw 1 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 4GARRYOWEN (USA)SUMMER PAULY · ED MOGER, JR. · draw 4 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 11DREAM GOLD (USA)CORY ORM · STEVE FRIDLEY · draw 11 · pool — · market #11—#11
  12. 13MI COMPADRE (USA)EMMANUEL ESQUIVEL · BRIAN WILLIAMSON · draw 13 · pool — · market #12—#12
  13. 9DEERFIELD (USA)ADAM BESCHIZZA · CHERIE DEVAUX · draw 9 · pool — · market #13—#13

Race 1 · Philadelphia · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8¼f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 3FAST BOB (KY)MYCHEL J SANCHEZ · MICHAEL V PINO · draw 3 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 5FROMANOTHAMUTHA (KY)JEAN AGUILAR · MIGUEL PENALOZA · draw 5 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 2BOYS OF SUMMER (KY)DEXTER HADDOCK · MIGUEL PENALOZA · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 6WAR COMMANDER (KY)JOEZER RANGEL · JULIO RODRIGUEZ · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 1MELT WITH YOU (KY)RUBEN SILVERA · ESTEBAN PADILLA · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7ROAN BURGUNDY (PA)KENDRY RIVERA · ELI BETANCOURT · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4MR. MENDELSSOHN (KY)SILVESTRE GONZALEZ · JOSE M SANTAELLA-CALDERON · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 2 · Philadelphia · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 5 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 7CAPTAIN FANCY (KY)KLEINER A MEJIAS · ELI BETANCOURT · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 5VIX (KY)BRYAN L TORRES · ELLIOTT SOTO-MARTINEZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3SITTIN CHILLY (NY)FRANKIE PENNINGTON · ILIAS TAPSAS · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1KUZ IT'S CHILLY (PA)CAMILA HARGROVE · RONALD B ABRAMS · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2PRAIRIE DUNES (KY)LUIS M OCASIO · MIGUEL A RODRIGUEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6PASTERO (KY)DEXTER HADDOCK · SCOTT A LAKE · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4CHANGE YOUR NAME (KY)YAN RODRIGUEZ · HOWARD R BROWN, JR · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 3 · Philadelphia · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8¼f Dirt · Maiden claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 1 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6THE FRIDGE (KY)KENDRY RIVERA · MELECIO SALDANA GUERRERO · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4EL HUIRRO (KY)KLEINER A MEJIAS · MIGUEL PENALOZA · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5GUNMAN JAYVO (NY)NOEL HERMAN · URIAH ST LEWIS · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3SPRING ST. DREAMER (KY)YAN RODRIGUEZ · LOUIS C LINDER, JR · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7JOHNNY MAC (PA)DEXTER HADDOCK · BRUCE M KRAVETS · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2RHYTHM MAN (NJ)LUIS M OCASIO · CESAREO MARQUEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1ZAMIRZO (PA)ANGEL CASTILLO · HOWARD R BROWN, JR · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 4 · Philadelphia · 6 runners

NO POOL YET
6½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 4 of 6 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6HALFTIME SHOW (KY)LUIS M OCASIO · MICHAEL V PINO · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2WEEK'S STRONG (FL)FRANKIE PENNINGTON · J TYLER SERVIS · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5SUNNY MAGIC (KY)NOEL HERMAN · JACINTO SOLIS · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1SCUDETTO (KY)YAN RODRIGUEZ · JORGE DIAZ · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3DEPORTIVO (KY)SEBASTIAN ORELLANA · TERESA HAGEMEIER · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 4STONECOLDHANDSOME (KY)ANGEL CASTILLO · TREVOR GALLIMORE · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6

Race 5 · Philadelphia · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8¼f Dirt · Allowance optional claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1WISH CAREFULLY (LA)RUBEN SILVERA · ERNESTO PADILLA-PRECIADO · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6LIGHT FOREVER (KY)PACO LOPEZ · GUADALUPE PRECIADO · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3WAITLIST (KY)FRANCISCO MARTINEZ · BENJAMIN J DUNN · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 4CAJUN VENOM (FL)LUIS M OCASIO · LOUIS C LINDER, JR · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7SMALLCHANGEGEEP (NY)SILVESTRE GONZALEZ · JAMES F NOBLE · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5ELECTRIC EEL (NJ)DEXTER HADDOCK · MIGUEL PENALOZA · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 2PLAY THE GRAY (NY)NOEL HERMAN · J GUADALUPE GUERRERO · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 6 · Philadelphia · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6½f Dirt · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 4 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4SISTER EVE (PA)PACO LOPEZ · JOHN T KIRBY · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1SNAPPY RIDE (PA)MYCHEL J SANCHEZ · MICHAEL V PINO · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5J RIVERS (KY)ELISEO RUIZ · RUPERTO A PEREZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3ET'S MOON MAIDEN (PA)ABNER ADORNO · GUSTAVO CHACON · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2BROWNEYEDVALENTINE (PA)ANGEL CASTILLO · EMMANUEL TZORTZAKIS · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6LOST LOVE (KY)ADAM BOWMAN · HAROLD WYNER · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 7AMBITIOUSLY PLACED (KY)FRANCISCO MARTINEZ · JACK ABRAMS · draw 7 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 7 · Philadelphia · 6 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Maiden, fillies & mares · 3yo Thoroughbreds · 3 of 6 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2SLASH ALLEY (PA)PACO LOPEZ · LOUIS C LINDER, JR · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6AMOR ALA MEXICANA (PA)FRANCISCO MARTINEZ · J GUADALUPE GUERRERO · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5LUCKY LU LU (PA)DEXTER HADDOCK · RICHARD VEGA · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1CATCH ME A CATCH (PA)LUIS M OCASIO · LOUIS C LINDER, JR · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 4MIDWEST PRINCESS (PA)SILVESTRE GONZALEZ · BENJAMIN J DUNN · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3BEAUTIFUL SUNSHINE (PA)ADAM BOWMAN · HEROLD O WHYLIE · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6

Race 8 · Philadelphia · 6 runners

NO POOL YET
8¼f Dirt · Allowance optional claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 5 of 6 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 5WORCESTER (KY)MYCHEL J SANCHEZ · JAMIE NESS · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4NATIONAL LAW (KY)PACO LOPEZ · JORGE DUARTE, JR · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6PREACHA MEYERS (KY)RUBEN SILVERA · JAMIE NESS · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1PROFOUND (KY)FRANKIE PENNINGTON · HAROLD WYNER · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2MIDWAY MUNNY (KY)FRANCISCO MARTINEZ · BENJAMIN J DUNN · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3MY IMAGINATION (KY)ADAM BOWMAN · ALAN BEDARD · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6

Race 9 · Philadelphia · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Allowance optional claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 5 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 3RHEE WALL (NJ)JEAN AGUILAR · MIGUEL PENALOZA · draw 3 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1PITTORE D'ORO (KY)SILVESTRE GONZALEZ · J GUADALUPE GUERRERO · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 2BANCO DI SICILIA (NY)MAGGLIO SANCHEZ · MARYA K MONTOYA · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 6MO INDIAN LADY (KY)DEXTER HADDOCK · JACINTO SOLIS · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 8ROSIE OUTLOOK (PA)FRANCISCO MARTINEZ · FELIX L FLORES-COBA · draw 8 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5BERLINWIN (KY)NOEL HERMAN · JORGE DIAZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4NOBLE ANNIE (KY)ELISEO RUIZ · JOSE M SANTAELLA-CALDERON · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7IZZY'S ROCK STAR (MD)SEBASTIAN ORELLANA · PEDRO POSADAS · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8

What the numbers mean

Pool share and edge

The Turkish tote (TJK) takes bets on US racing; each runner's share of that win pool is the market's opinion, published before the off. The model starts from that share and adjusts it with sixteen form layers (trainer, jockey, sire, damsire, owner, last finish, form, days since, head-to-head, track record, draw, rating, weight, age, depth of history). Edge is the model probability minus the pool-implied probability, in points. A positive edge means the model likes the horse more than the crowd does.

How the model was tested

Weights were fitted by conditional logit on 7,572 US races and tested walk-forward: each block scored with weights fitted only on earlier races, 6,972 races out of sample. On its own the model does not beat the pool (-6.0 pts top-3); combined with it, top-3 coverage moves +0.4 pts and likelihood improves. Verdict: passed (marginal). The gain is calibration, not coverage: the record page shows exactly how it performs.

Layer weights: piyasa +0.73 · antrenor +0.27 · aygir +0.24 · jokey +0.23 · form3 -0.21 · damsire +0.10 · hp +0.05 · adres -0.03 · son_bitis +0.03 · n_gecmis +0.02 · sahip +0.02 · siklet +0.02 · h2h +0.01 · kgs +0.00 · draw +0.00 · yas +0.00 · son_fark +0.00

Usable, thin, blind

A race is usable when at least 70% of runners have US form on file and the field averages two or more runs; thin at 40%; otherwise blind, where no verdict is given and the order shown is the market's. Before the pool opens (TJK opens it on race morning) every race is blind.

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