- 8JR BARTHOLOMEW (USA)-13.425% · 38%
- 10CANTIS (USA)-3.414% · 17%
- 9TAMBOURINE MAN (USA)-2.313% · 15%
- 5INCREDIBLE POWER (USA)+0.810% · 9%
- 1CANDY CONSTITUTION (USA)+1.78% · 6%
- 11PEZZONOVANTE (USA) (Koşmaz)+7.78% · 0%
- 2DACOLDESTTOEVADOIT (USA)+0.67% · 6%
Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita Park picks — Fri 9 Oct 2026
Free horse racing picks for today's US cards: tote pool share plus sixteen form layers measured on 7,572 races, for every US track carried on the Turkish tote. Our ranks are written before the first race and scored after it: the record.
Pools not open yet
- Pool + formAGF share as the spine, 16 measured layers on top
- EdgeModel probability minus what the pool implies
- Usable racesVerdicts only where the form file is deep enough
- Open recordRanks written before race 1, scored after
Today · Fri 9 Oct 2026
Race 1 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 1 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET- 5TURKISH SURPRISE (USA)JONATHAN OCASIO · CARLOS A. DAVID · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 6SWELL (USA)LEONEL REYES · BERNARDO G. LOPEZ · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 4MAGIC MINI (USA)MARCOS MENESES · ANTONIO SANO · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 2CAUSESHZPRECOCIOUS (USA)SONNY LEON · DOUGLAS NUNN · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 8ALL LIGHT LONG (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · ANTONIO SANO · draw 8 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 7MONA LISA (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · DOUGLAS NUNN · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 1MUMBET (USA)HERIBERTO FIGUEROA · HEATHER SMULLEN · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 3DISTINCTLY RED (USA)JONATHAN SANTOS · ARNOUD W. DOBBER · draw 3 · pool — · market #8—#8
Race 2 · Gulfstream Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 2 · Gulfstream Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET- 3MALBEC (USA)MIGUEL ANGEL VASQUEZ · JOSE FRANCISCO D'ANGELO · draw 3 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 1SMELL OF MONEY (USA)LEONEL REYES · JOSE FRANCISCO D'ANGELO · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 5HENRY'S BUDDY (USA)SONNY LEON · MARK E. CASSE · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 2EXPERT WITNESS (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · MICHAEL LERMAN · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 6CHING CHING (USA)CARLOS MARTINEZ · MICHAEL S. MORRISON · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 4FLYING ASH (USA)JONATHAN SANTOS · MARK PASSLEY · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6
Race 3 · Gulfstream Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 3 · Gulfstream Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 7MI CORAZONCITO (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · SANDINO R. HERNANDEZ, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 6HIGH AMBITION (USA)LEONEL REYES · JOSE FRANCISCO D'ANGELO · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 4LITTLE PRINCE (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · JUAN CARLOS AVILA · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 5CHIC AND LUCKY (USA)EDWIN GONZALEZ · EDUARDO M. VAZQUEZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 2TWEED (USA)MARCOS MENESES · FAUSTO GUTIERREZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 3TILOU (USA)DIEGO A. HERRERA · HEATHER SMULLEN · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 1MISCHIEF MEISTER (USA)MIGUEL ANGEL VASQUEZ · HEATHER SMULLEN · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 4 · Gulfstream Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 4 · Gulfstream Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET- 6MISPRINT (USA)WILFRED VASQUEZ · NICHOLAS J. TOMLINSON · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 3DRUM ROLL (USA)MIGUEL ANGEL VASQUEZ · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 1GARUDA (USA)EDWIN GONZALEZ · LUIS M. RAMIREZ · draw 1 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 5TRAVEL HAPPY (USA)LEONEL REYES · GARY G. JACKSON · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 2MY PERFECT LADY (USA)MARCOS MENESES · AMADOR MEREI SANCHEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 4EVANORA (USA)CARLOS MARTINEZ · GARRETT W. ARSCOTT · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6
Race 5 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 5 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET- 5SANTAL (USA)LEONEL REYES · RONALD COY · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 1SOFOCLES (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · SEBASTIAN PULGARIN · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 2ARAUCANO (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · JEFF ENGLER · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 7COMPLEXED (USA)EDWIN GONZALEZ · MARK E. CASSE · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 3CARCONE (USA)EDGAR PEREZ · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 6RUSTY PISTOL (USA)YOLBER TORRES · DOUGLAS JONES · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 8LOVE HATE (USA)CARLOS MARTINEZ · KATHLEEN O'CONNELL · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 4IRON THE MONEY (USA)HERIBERTO FIGUEROA · HEATHER SMULLEN · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8
Race 6 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 6 · Gulfstream Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET- 5STEM CELL (USA)DIEGO A. HERRERA · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 4FORGED VALOR (USA)EDWIN GONZALEZ · MURAT SANCAL · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 2MAHOVLICH (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · JENA M. ANTONUCCI · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 1CLASSY PRINCE (USA)LEONEL REYES · RONALD COY · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 7MOSAI (USA)J.G. TORREALBA · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 3INHONOROFSONNY (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · HENRY COLLAZO · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 8KING MORPHEUS (USA)ANTHONY THOMAS · COLLIN MARAGH · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 6PRINCIPITO DOS (USA)JONATHAN SANTOS · RONALD COY · draw 6 · pool — · market #8—#8
Race 7 · Gulfstream Park · 9 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 7 · Gulfstream Park · 9 runners
NO POOL YET- 2ENCHANTING TALE (USA)LEONEL REYES · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 7JACK KEROUAC (USA)DIEGO A. HERRERA · RONALD B. SPATZ · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 3MALCOLM X (PER)EDWIN GONZALEZ · DANTE ZANELLI · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 6LAWLER (USA)RASHEED HUGHES · RUBEN SIERRA · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 4VENEZUELAN HOPE (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · STEVE KLESARIS · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 5SCIENCE ROCKETS (USA)J.G. TORREALBA · PATRICK L. BIANCONE · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 8SHINYHAPPYGROOVY (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · NICHOLAS J. TOMLINSON · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 9TECHNO MUSIC (USA)CIPRIANO GIL · VICTOR BARBOZA, JR. · draw 9 · pool — · market #8—#8
- 1APACHE ONE SIX (USA)JONATHAN SANTOS · RONALD COY · draw 1 · pool — · market #9—#9
Race 8 · Gulfstream Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 8 · Gulfstream Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 7IRISH ADIEU (USA)MIGUEL ANGEL VASQUEZ · BOBBY S. DIBONA · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 5AZAM (USA)LEONEL REYES · JOSE FRANCISCO D'ANGELO · draw 5 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 4MOVE JESSE MOVE (USA)SAMY CAMACHO · LESTER BARBAZON III · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 2ARABIA WILD (USA)DIEGO A. HERRERA · PEDRO GARCIA, JR. · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 1PROST (USA)YOLBER TORRES · JOSE FRANCISCO D'ANGELO · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 3EZ ORB NOT (USA)EDWIN GONZALEZ · JOSEPH F. ORSENO · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 6GREGARIOUS (USA)JOSE E. MORELOS · JOSE M. CASTRO · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 1 · Santa Anita Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 1 · Santa Anita Park · 6 runners
NO POOL YET- 5LOVE THE PRESSURE (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · MICHAEL W. MCCARTHY · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 3SOGNO DI VINO (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · PETER MILLER · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 4BAD TO THE BONES (USA)WELFIN R. ORANTES · RYAN HANSON · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 1RAGING INFERNO (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · JOSE HERNANDEZ, JR. · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 6PRECISION (GB)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · HECTOR O. PALMA · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 2ITS THE BANDIT (USA)FRANCISCO ORDUNA-ROJAS · BRIAN T. CUNNINGHAM · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
Race 2 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 2 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 1CAROLINA LEGACY (USA)RICARDO GONZALEZ · MARK GLATT · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 7FIRE MOUNTAIN (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · PETER EURTON · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 4DRIFTINGANDREAMING (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · JOHN W. SADLER · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 5HERE'S SOME MORE (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · MICHAEL W. MCCARTHY · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 2PRACTICAL JACK (USA)TIAGO JOSUE PEREIRA · VAL BRINKERHOFF · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 3KING STEPHEN (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · LEONARD POWELL · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 6MAXIMUM GLADIATOR (USA)KYLE FREY · GENARO VALLEJO · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 3 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 3 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 4SILKIE SEVEI (IRE)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 7JET BLACK JEWEL (IRE)ARMANDO AYUSO · ROBERT B. HESS, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 5RONILLA (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · PATRICK GALLAGHER · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 6CAVES (USA)JULIEN R. LEPAROUX · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 2SOUTHERN RIFF (USA)TYLER BAZE · MONTY R. MEIER · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 1CUBAN FLAME (FR)VICTOR ESPINOZA · LEONARD POWELL · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 3PRINCESS BREANNA (USA)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · MELANIE W. MCDONALD · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 4 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 4 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 5HIMARI (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · BOB BAFFERT · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 2TIME TO SHINE (USA)RICARDO GONZALEZ · MARK GLATT · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 3MISLEADING (USA)MIKE E. SMITH · PETER EURTON · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 4CONVO (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · JOHN W. SADLER · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 1CLUBHOUSE CUTIE (USA)TYLER BAZE · IAN KRULJAC · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 7MIMI'S MEMORY (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · GEORGE PAPAPRODROMOU · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 6CLARINA (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · GLORIA HALEY · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 5 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 5 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners
NO POOL YET- 6SAREEHA (IRE)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · MARK GLATT · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 3CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE)KAZUSHI KIMURA · MARK RHEINFORD · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 7LITTLE HIDDEN PORT (ARG)JOEL ROSARIO · JOHN W. SADLER · draw 7 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 1UNA PALABRA (USA)EDGAR PAYERAS · VANN BELVOIR · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 5KETONIA (FR)JULIEN R. LEPAROUX · RONALD W. ELLIS · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 4CATALINA COCKTAIL (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · JOHN W. SADLER · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 2CAMERON SLOUGH (USA)ABEL LEZCANO · BLAINE D. WRIGHT · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7
Race 6 · Santa Anita Park · 9 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 6 · Santa Anita Park · 9 runners
NO POOL YET- 8MONSIEUR BIG (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · TIM YAKTEEN · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 2LUCKY SNIPER (USA)KYLE FREY · DAN BLACKER · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 9DESERT HAWK (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · JOSE HERNANDEZ, JR. · draw 9 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 1WICKED SPUD (USA)TYLER BAZE · ANTHONY K. SAAVEDRA · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 4AMERICANO W'CHROME (USA)DAVID CHARLES LOPEZ · LEONARD POWELL · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 6HALNINETHOUSAND (USA)ADRIAN ESCOBEDO · RYAN HANSON · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 7FIGHTING THUNDER (USA)JEREMY LAPRIDA · CRAIG ANTHONY LEWIS · draw 7 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 5TONYS FEVER (USA)CRISTOBAL HERRERA · CHARLES S. TREECE · draw 5 · pool — · market #8—#8
- 3SMOKEM AND LOVE (USA)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · EDWIN G. ALVAREZ · draw 3 · pool — · market #9—#9
Race 7 · Santa Anita Park · 12 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 7 · Santa Anita Park · 12 runners
NO POOL YET- 7PAVEL IS APPEALING (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 7 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 4GOJE (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · GEORGE PAPAPRODROMOU · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 9MARLA HOOCH (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 9 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 12ELLEN JORTH (USA)JULIEN R. LEPAROUX · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 12 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 10WE THE HOBBY (USA)HECTOR ISAAC BERRIOS · PETER MILLER · draw 10 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 6TIGER OF THE SEA (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · BRIAN J. KORINER · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 3HELLO KID O KID O (USA)WELFIN R. ORANTES · MIKE PUYPE · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 11DORIE MILLER (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · LEONARD POWELL · draw 11 · pool — · market #8—#8
- 2GREEN ZONE (USA)TYLER BAZE · CRAIG DOLLASE · draw 2 · pool — · market #9—#9
- 1SUNTORY TIME (USA)KYLE FREY · ISIDRO TAMAYO · draw 1 · pool — · market #10—#10
- 5MPERFECTION (USA)CRISTOBAL HERRERA · JOHN C. IVORY · draw 5 · pool — · market #11—#11
- 8HUMIDITY (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · PATRICK GALLAGHER · draw 8 · pool — · market #12—#12
Race 8 · Santa Anita Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET
Race 8 · Santa Anita Park · 8 runners
NO POOL YET- 1FRACTIOUS (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
- 7IRON SAND (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · SEAN WILLIAMS · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
- 8MAGIC WAVE (USA)TIAGO JOSUE PEREIRA · HECTOR O. PALMA · draw 8 · pool — · market #3—#3
- 3FRANCISCUS (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · TIM YAKTEEN · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
- 2GRAND INDIAN (USA)KYLE FREY · ADAM KITCHINGMAN · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
- 6BOSS MAN BOLT (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · MICK RUIS, SR. · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
- 4AT PEACE (USA)MIKE E. SMITH · RICHARD E. MANDELLA · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7
- 5NOMOREBUTTAFINGERS (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · RICHARD BALTAS · draw 5 · pool — · market #8—#8
Below the depth threshold, not ranked: Keeneland (1.15 runs/horse) · Belmont Park (1.02 runs/horse)
What the numbers mean
Pool share and edge
The Turkish tote (TJK) takes bets on US racing; each runner's share of that win pool is the market's opinion, published before the off. The model starts from that share and adjusts it with sixteen form layers (trainer, jockey, sire, damsire, owner, last finish, form, days since, head-to-head, track record, draw, rating, weight, age, depth of history). Edge is the model probability minus the pool-implied probability, in points. A positive edge means the model likes the horse more than the crowd does.
How the model was tested
Weights were fitted by conditional logit on 7,572 US races and tested walk-forward: each block scored with weights fitted only on earlier races, 6,972 races out of sample. On its own the model does not beat the pool (-6.0 pts top-3); combined with it, top-3 coverage moves +0.4 pts and likelihood improves. Verdict: passed (marginal). The gain is calibration, not coverage: the record page shows exactly how it performs.
Usable, thin, blind
A race is usable when at least 70% of runners have US form on file and the field averages two or more runs; thin at 40%; otherwise blind, where no verdict is given and the order shown is the market's. Before the pool opens (TJK opens it on race morning) every race is blind.