Race 8 · Santa Anita Parkpool vs model · Sun 11 Oct 2026
pool sharemodeledge, pts
  1. 9D DAY SKY (USA)+0.616% · 15%
  2. 1PRINCE OF DEL MAR (USA)+2.315% · 13%
  3. 10MY MAN JOE ROLDAN (USA)+0.715% · 14%
  4. 5BATTLE SCHOOL (USA)-2.413% · 16%
  5. 3BIG REFLECTIONS (USA)-4.312% · 17%
  6. 7PACER (USA)+1.110% · 9%
  7. 6IT'S A FACTOR (USA)+1.47% · 6%
Result pending · record

Finger Lakes, Horseshoe Indianapolis, Santa Anita Park picks — Mon 12 Oct 2026

Free horse racing picks for today's US cards: tote pool share plus sixteen form layers measured on 7,572 races, for every US track carried on the Turkish tote. Our ranks are written before the first race and scored after it: the record.

25 races today · 17 days on file · walk-forward test on 6,972 races out of sample · how it scored

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 3 tracks0 usable of 25 races · model overturns the favourite in 0Written Sun 11 Oct 2026, 15:18 ET · permalink

Pools not open yet

The Turkish tote opens its win pool on these 25 US races on the morning of the card (it stays thin until close to post time). This page was written from the race cards alone; verdicts and pool shares fill in about an hour before each track’s first race, once the pool has formed. Meanwhile: yesterday's results · the record.

Today · Mon 12 Oct 2026

25 races across Finger Lakes, Horseshoe Indianapolis, Santa Anita Park. Rank = combined model (1 best); pool = TJK win-pool share when the page was written; edge = model minus pool, in points.

Race 1 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
9f Dirt · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2ICE TIME (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · CHRIS J. ENGLEHART · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4MAD MAGIC (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · MICHAEL S. FERRARO · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 7RAW COURAGE (USA)J. M. ROHENA · AADIL S. KHAN · draw 7 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 5WILD BANKER (USA)MICHAEL A. DAVILA, JR. · DAVID OYOLA · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3ERIC FROM MIAMI (USA)JOHN C. BERRIOS · TIMOTHY P. MURPHY · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 1MR. EINSTEIN (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · NIRKA HUERTAS · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 6SO SPIRITED (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · LINDA K. DIXON · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 2 · Finger Lakes · 6 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 6 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 5PROBABLY FLATTERY (USA)KEIBER J. COA · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2KISMEHOLDMETHRLME (USA)JOEL CRUZ · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6FIRST PITCH (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · JOSE M. JIMENEZ · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3VALIANT WARRIOR (USA)BEN S. JOSEPH · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 4FESS (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · LUIS GUTIERREZ · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 1NEW MATTHEW (USA)CHRIS RUSSELL · MICHAEL T. SABINE · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6

Race 3 · Finger Lakes · 6 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 6 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2ALMEZ (USA)SOFIA VIVES · MICHAEL S. FERRARO · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6HEY PAL (USA)KEIBER J. COA · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4GRAY HAIRED GUS (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3INONIT (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · LISA L. LUGOVICH · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 5MUSCLE SHOALS (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · LUIS GUTIERREZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 1PALPABLE (USA)SHAUN BRIDGMOHAN · MELANIE GIDDINGS · draw 1 · pool — · market #6—#6

Race 4 · Finger Lakes · 5 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Stakes · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 5 of 5 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 3D I WIRE (USA)PACO LOPEZ · KELLY J. BREEN · draw 3 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1BIG POPPY (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · M. ANTHONY FERRARO · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5PWR OF PERSISTENCE (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 4SILVER KNIGHT (USA)SHAUN BRIDGMOHAN · MELANIE GIDDINGS · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2FINANCIAL STAR (USA)KEIBER J. COA · RALPH D'ALESSANDRO · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5

Race 5 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Allowance, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1BELLORO (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · JEREMIAH C. ENGLEHART · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 6THREE NINES FINE (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 6 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5CAJUN HOTTIE (USA)KEIBER J. COA · JON G. ARNETT · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2DANIELLA MARIE (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 4MY ANGEL MARIE (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · JON G. ARNETT · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7BALD KITTEN (USA)JOEL CRUZ · MICHAEL A. LECESSE · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3WORLD BANK (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · KATLYNN GUTTERSON · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 6 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2MAGIC BEACH (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 5KINGS DANCER (USA)NAZARIO ALVARADO · LINDA K. DIXON · draw 5 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 1MISSIONATTHEGLEN (USA)KEIBER J. COA · MICHAEL A. LECESSE · draw 1 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 4ALZERO (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · H. JAMES BOND · draw 4 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3JAKE'S ORCHARD (USA)STEVEN FRET · STACY TORELLI · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6CONNECT AND CRUISE (USA)ANDRE SHIVNARINE WORRIE · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 7HAMILTON'S REASON (USA)CHRIS RUSSELL · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 7 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 7 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Dirt · Stakes, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6INTENTIOUS (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4EKWANOK (USA)JOEL CRUZ · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 1VICTORY HALL (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · THOMAS MORLEY · draw 1 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 5P MUTTER PICKLE (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · PAUL W. BARROW · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2MARILYN'S NY PRIDE (USA)OSCAR GOMEZ · RICHARD SHAFFER · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3ZI END (USA)JACQUELINE A. DAVIS · DEBRA A. BREED · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 7MY FIRST DINAH (USA)OLAF HERNANDEZ · EDUARDO E. JONES · draw 7 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 8 · Finger Lakes · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Dirt · Stakes · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8KOLOMIO (USA)LUIS E. PEREZ · CHARLTON BAKER · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 3SEAMS LIKE DESTINY (USA)KEIBER J. COA · TROY SMITH · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6DR. KRAFT (USA)HEMAN K. HARKIE · ILKAY KANTARMACI · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2PROBABILITY (USA)CHRISTOPHER ELLIOTT · AMELIA J. GREEN · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 4RHYMES LIKE DIMES (USA)MICHAEL A. DAVILA, JR. · TIMOTHY P. MURPHY · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5AZ U CHASE ME (USA)STEVEN FRET · STACY TORELLI · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1STICKUPWITHOUTAGUN (USA)SILVESTRE GONZALEZ · ILKAY KANTARMACI · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7CICCIOBELLO (USA)REYLU GUTIERREZ · OSCAR S. BARRERA III · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 9 · Finger Lakes · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2ROCKED OUT (USA)JOSE BAEZ · DANA SAUL · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 3RIDE SHARE (USA)KEVIN NAVARRO · JONATHAN B. BUCKLEY · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5HONOR FOR MANDIN (USA)J. M. ROHENA · JOSE ARMANDO ROHENA · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1HARD PERFORMER (USA)STEVEN FRET · KATLYNN GUTTERSON · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7ANMOLO (USA)EMANUEL DE DIEGO · NIRKA HUERTAS · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 4EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE (USA)CHRIS RUSSELL · ROBERT W. COOK · draw 4 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 6JUST A GUY (USA)JEREMIAS FLORES · DONNA BIRETA · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 1 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8¼f Dirt · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 5YOTOWIN (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · ROGELIO LABRA · draw 5 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 8LIL' HOTTIE (USA)JOSEPH C. BEALMEAR · JAMES A. KELLEY · draw 8 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 1ALEXAS HOPE (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · TOMAS MEDINA · draw 1 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 7RIBADEO (USA)JAIME A. TORRES · MARK SIMMS, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3CLOUDY LASS (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · WILLIAM STINSON, JR. · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2FIFTH WHEEL (USA)SANTO SANJUR · MICHAEL E. LAUER · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 6QUIBBLE (USA)DANILO GRISALES RAVE · MICHAEL E. LAUER · draw 6 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 4SOUND THE SIREN (USA)JOSE RIQUELME · GENNADI DOROCHENKO · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 2 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Maiden · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 1MIKESTRUMPCARD (USA)JOSE RAMOS GUTIERREZ · JOHN HARAN · draw 1 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 3UP N UP (USA)MITCHELL MURRILL · MICHAEL E. LAUER · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4Z SET THE MARK (USA)ANDRES P. ULLOA · TIM EGGLESTON · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 7QUALITY NOTION (USA)CARLOS MONTALVO · KARIN YIKE · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 6SENOR JUSTICE (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · KENIA HERNANDEZ · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2CRAZY LEGS MIKE (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · JOHN HARAN · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 5TANEYCOMO (USA)JOSE RIQUELME · JOSE PAYE · draw 5 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 3 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6SAVE MY TOWN (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · GENARO GARCIA · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7HOUSE OF GOLD (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · TIANNA RICHARDVILLE · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3LAMBAY (USA)JOSEPH M. ROMERO · TRACEY J. WISNER · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1RYAN'S WISH (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · RANDY L. KLOPP · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2TAYLOR'S MOONSHINE (USA)JOSE RAMOS GUTIERREZ · JOHN HARAN · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5ALLBARKNOBITE (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4BENNY'S DAY (USA)ALEX ACHARD · JOSEPH D. DAVIS · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 4 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Dirt · Maiden, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6HOTLINE IRIS (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · ROBERT E. DOBBS, JR. · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 2HIGHER WISH (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 2 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 4ABRA ABRA (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · TIANNA RICHARDVILLE · draw 4 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3ATHENAEUM (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · JOHN L. LANGEMEIER · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 8INDY TRYST (USA)ALEX ACHARD · MICHELLE L. ELLIOTT · draw 8 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 5LOVERS CARRIL (USA)ADAM BESCHIZZA · JEFF A. HILES · draw 5 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1MOON LITE GIRL (USA)JOSEPH M. ROMERO · JAMES EGBERT · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7EYETHINKEYECAN (USA)MICAH MEEKS · TERRY VAUGHN · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 5 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 12 runners

NO POOL YET
5f Turf · Maiden, fillies & mares · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 2 of 12 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6KEEPMEONTOP (USA)ORLANDO MOJICA · ROBERTINO DIODORO · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7FALLING CREEK (USA)EMMANUEL ESQUIVEL · JONATHAN THOMAS · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 12FRIZZLE (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · STEVEN M. ASMUSSEN · draw 12 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1DO WAH DIDDY (USA)AXEL CONCEPCION · JOE SHARP · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 5MEASUREMENT (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · JAMES E. BAKER · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2THREE BRANCHES (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · REY HERNANDEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4CORTINA GOLD (USA)WALTER A. RODRIGUEZ · JOHN C. SERVIS · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 9REDEEMING GRACE (USA)JULIO E. FELIX · WILLIAM E. MOREY · draw 9 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 10MIDWINTER (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · VICTORIA H. OLIVER · draw 10 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 8BLONDE CONFIDENCE (USA)EVIN A. ROMAN · ROBERT E. DOBBS, JR. · draw 8 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 11TUXCA (USA)MICAH MEEKS · ERICK ALEXANDER TORRES · draw 11 · pool — · market #11—#11
  12. 3MARGARET LANE (USA)ADAM BESCHIZZA · KELSEY DANNER · draw 3 · pool — · market #12—#12

Race 6 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 9 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Maiden · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 5 of 9 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8CAPTAIN SHAGAF (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 3WHISKEY STORM (USA)JOSHUA MORALES · ANTHONY F. CUNNINGHAM · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 9PRIMAL ROAR (USA)JOSE RAMOS GUTIERREZ · JOHN HARAN · draw 9 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 6MR THUNDEROUS (USA)IRVING MONCADA · MICHAEL WEAVER · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 5EYES ON EL PRADO (USA)JOSEPH C. BEALMEAR · JOHN HARAN · draw 5 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2EPHESIAN CAT (USA)BRIAN L. HOLLINGSWORTH · PHILIP COOMER · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 4COOL TRIP (USA)HANNAH LEAHEY · TIANNA RICHARDVILLE · draw 4 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 1JAGUAR JUSTICE (USA)SANTO SANJUR · ANTONIO DURAN · draw 1 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 7WRONG REASON (USA)MICAH MEEKS · SCOTT D. MULLINS · draw 7 · pool — · market #9—#9

Race 7 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 14 runners

NO POOL YET
8½f Turf · Allowance · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 13 of 14 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8COW CREEK KID (USA)ALEX ACHARD · AARON M. WEST · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 14ZACH (USA)ALBERTO BURGOS · JOHN HARAN · draw 14 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 2THOUSANDS OF HOPES (USA)ORLANDO MOJICA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 2 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 13QUAINT (USA)AMIR MENDOZA · GENARO GARCIA · draw 13 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 9SCENIC JUSTICE (USA)VICTOR LARA · CHAZ RECHY · draw 9 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 10SPEEDY SPIRIT (USA)CARLOS MONTALVO · ANTONIO DURAN · draw 10 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1BOUT TREE FIDDY (USA)JOSEPH C. BEALMEAR · JOHN HARAN · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 11LOOKOUT KID (USA)ALEXANDER CRISPIN · JOHN L. LANGEMEIER · draw 11 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 3TROUBLEONTHEGREEN (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · ANTHONY J. GRANITZ · draw 3 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 6ORA CERTA (USA)MIA NICHOLLS · EDUARDO CARAMORI · draw 6 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 7WHICH SIDE R U ON (USA)SANTO SANJUR · ANTHONY J. GRANITZ · draw 7 · pool — · market #11—#11
  12. 12FOGONERO (USA)RODNEY A. PRESCOTT · ANTONIO DURAN · draw 12 · pool — · market #12—#12
  13. 4MOST AMAZING (USA)DANNY SHEEHY · MICHAEL E. LAUER · draw 4 · pool — · market #13—#13
  14. 5STORM BACK (USA)JAVIER TAVARES · AGUSTIN GONZALEZ, JR. · draw 5 · pool — · market #14—#14

Race 8 · Horseshoe Indianapolis · 11 runners

NO POOL YET
5f Turf · Maiden, fillies & mares · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 3 of 11 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6A LA VIE (USA)MARCELINO PEDROZA, JR. · JOE SHARP · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4OUR LEADING LADY (USA)JOSEPH D. RAMOS · LORI HENDRICKSON · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 10ARIA THUNDER (USA)ORLANDO MOJICA · NIK G. GOODWIN · draw 10 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2GRACE AND GLAMOUR (USA)AXEL CONCEPCION · WILLIAM WALDEN · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 3MIGHT COULD (USA)ALBERTO BURGOS · PAULO H. LOBO · draw 3 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7SEALED DESTINY (USA)ALEX ACHARD · ANTHONY J. GRANITZ · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 8LADY WREN (USA)ADAM BESCHIZZA · JOE SHARP · draw 8 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 5BRIGHTWATER (USA)MIGUEL FERNANDEZ · ARMANDO HERNANDEZ · draw 5 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 1LIL TORMENTA (USA)FERNANDO DE LA CRUZ · MICHELLE L. ELLIOTT · draw 1 · pool — · market #9—#9
  10. 11TURBO KITTY (USA)RAFAEL MOJICA, JR. · REBECCA JOHNSTON · draw 11 · pool — · market #10—#10
  11. 9TIGRA (USA)DANNY SHEEHY · JIMMY CORRIGAN · draw 9 · pool — · market #11—#11

Race 1 · Santa Anita Park · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 8 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6KEEP MOVIN' ON (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · MARK GLATT · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1MICI'S EXPRESS (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · ANTONIO C. GARCIA · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5FORZA AZZURRI (USA)ABEL LEZCANO · PETER MILLER · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 8CUPID'S CRUSADER (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · GENARO VALLEJO · draw 8 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 2SPIRITUAL ADVISOR (USA)WELFIN R. ORANTES · JEFF BONDE · draw 2 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7BALLYHOOLIGAN (USA)ARMANDO AGUILAR · ROLANDO QUINONEZ · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3TIGGRRR WHITWORTH (USA)VICTOR ESPINOZA · STEVE R. KNAPP · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 4SMARTY NOSE (USA)KYLE FREY · SALLY P. RIVERA · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 2 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
6½f Turf · Maiden claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4THROWTHEFIRSTPUNCH (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1RUNNING SPARTAN (USA)TIAGO JOSUE PEREIRA · GEORGE PAPAPRODROMOU · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5JETWAY (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · PETER MILLER · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 2TIGHT DALLY (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · PETER EURTON · draw 2 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7METATE (USA)EDWIN A. MALDONADO · ROBERT B. HESS, JR. · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 6FUZZY STARE (USA)KYLE FREY · ISIDRO TAMAYO · draw 6 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3CHARISMA (USA)ARMANDO AGUILAR · PAULA S. CAPESTRO · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 3 · Santa Anita Park · 7 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Allowance optional claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 7 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 2SHADY TIGER (USA)HECTOR ISAAC BERRIOS · JEFF MULLINS · draw 2 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 4JOHN METCALFE (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · CRAIG ANTHONY LEWIS · draw 4 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5GEEZER (USA)EDGAR PAYERAS · GENARO VALLEJO · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 7THE GYPSY COWBOY (USA)TIAGO JOSUE PEREIRA · STEVE R. KNAPP · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 6KEITHING THUNDER (USA)TYLER BAZE · BRENDAN W. GALVIN · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 3BRUNCHANDCRUNCH (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · RICHARD BALTAS · draw 3 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 1PRACTICAL BLAME (USA)KYLE FREY · BRENDAN W. GALVIN · draw 1 · pool — · market #7—#7

Race 4 · Santa Anita Park · 9 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Maiden claiming · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 6 of 9 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4POWERFUL EDVENTURE (USA)RAMON A. VAZQUEZ · TIM YAKTEEN · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 8STRIKE A MATCH (CAN)ABEL LEZCANO · MARK GLATT · draw 8 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 9KORE KINETIC (USA)EDWIN A. MALDONADO · LUIS MENDEZ · draw 9 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 5RIDE THE TIGER (USA)ARMANDO AYUSO · BRIAN J. KORINER · draw 5 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 6TREXIMO (USA)ADRIAN ESCOBEDO · RYAN HANSON · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2HE'S A FIGHTER (USA)TIAGO JOSUE PEREIRA · BILL MCLEAN · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3MISSILE CRUISER (USA)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · VAL BRINKERHOFF · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 7COSMIC TRAIL (USA)ARMANDO AGUILAR · RUBEN GOMEZ · draw 7 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 1HEAVENLY MATCH (USA)CRISTOBAL HERRERA · GLORIA HALEY · draw 1 · pool — · market #9—#9

Race 5 · Santa Anita Park · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
6½f Turf · Claiming, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 7 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 8FINE BY ME (USA)JULIEN R. LEPAROUX · MARK GLATT · draw 8 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 7ANGELICA BAY (IRE)KAZUSHI KIMURA · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 7 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 3CHURCH LADY (IRE)ARMANDO AGUILAR · MARTIN H. VALENZUELA, JR. · draw 3 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 6WATCH OVER US (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · PETER MILLER · draw 6 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 4LADY RUTH (USA)HECTOR ISAAC BERRIOS · O. J. JAUREGUI · draw 4 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2JENNYS WINE GIRL (USA)EDWIN A. MALDONADO · RICHARD BALTAS · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 5AMOR SECRETO (USA)EDGAR PAYERAS · GENARO VALLEJO · draw 5 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 1CLOUDY WOMEN (USA)WELFIN R. ORANTES · SERGIO MORFIN · draw 1 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 6 · Santa Anita Park · 9 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Dirt · Maiden claiming, fillies & mares · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 7 of 9 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4MOOBERRY (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 1LOVELY MAYA (USA)EDWIN A. MALDONADO · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 1 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5AWSOME AMY (USA)HECTOR ISAAC BERRIOS · O. J. JAUREGUI · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 3BIG BROADCAST (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · TIM YAKTEEN · draw 3 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 6MYSWEETVALENTINE (USA)KYLE FREY · DANIEL M. JENSEN · draw 6 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 7CLUBHOUSE ROSE (USA)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · VAL BRINKERHOFF · draw 7 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 2MADRINA MIA (USA)ADRIAN ESCOBEDO · LUIS MENDEZ · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 8VAHEVALA (USA)EPIFANIO GARCIA · D. WAYNE BAKER · draw 8 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 9MIYAKO PAUMA (USA)TYLER BAZE · GLORIA HALEY · draw 9 · pool — · market #9—#9

Race 7 · Santa Anita Park · 8 runners

NO POOL YET
8f Turf · Stakes, fillies & mares · 3yo+ Thoroughbreds · 5 of 8 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 4ANTIFONA (FR)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · VLADIMIR CERIN · draw 4 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 3SLICK (IRE)UMBERTO RISPOLI · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 3 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 6TIRUPATI (USA)JAMIE P. SPENCER · JONATHAN THOMAS · draw 6 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 7PURA VIDA PRINCESA (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · DOUG F. O'NEILL · draw 7 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 1INNOVATIVE (USA)JOEL ROSARIO · PHILIP D'AMATO · draw 1 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 8BIT'S TIGER MAGIC (USA)RAMON A. VAZQUEZ · draw 8 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 2MIRACLE BEAUTY (IRE)KAZUSHI KIMURA · MICHAEL W. MCCARTHY · draw 2 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 5FIRENZE FLAVOR (USA)DRAYDEN VAN DYKE · PATRICK GALLAGHER · draw 5 · pool — · market #8—#8

Race 8 · Santa Anita Park · 9 runners

NO POOL YET
5½f Dirt · Maiden claiming · 2yo Thoroughbreds · 5 of 9 with US form on file

Pool not open yet — runners in card order; the verdict arrives with the next refresh once the tote opens.

  1. 6LUKA'S CHOICE (USA)KAZUSHI KIMURA · CRAIG ANTHONY LEWIS · draw 6 · pool — · market #1—#1
  2. 8VERN GOSDIN (USA)EMISAEL JARAMILLO · STEVE R. KNAPP · draw 8 · pool — · market #2—#2
  3. 5JOHNNY B (USA)JUAN J. HERNANDEZ · IAN KRULJAC · draw 5 · pool — · market #3—#3
  4. 1PROUD DANIEL (USA)TYLER BAZE · JORGE PERIBAN · draw 1 · pool — · market #4—#4
  5. 7EXPRESS ENTRY (USA)ABEL LEZCANO · BILL MCLEAN · draw 7 · pool — · market #5—#5
  6. 2THE MOE SHOW (USA)KYLE FREY · STEVEN MIYADI · draw 2 · pool — · market #6—#6
  7. 3DIAMOND TORNADO (USA)EPIFANIO GARCIA · SERGIO MORFIN · draw 3 · pool — · market #7—#7
  8. 4SWERVEDRIVER (USA)FRANCISCO MONROY · MANUEL P. BADILLA · draw 4 · pool — · market #8—#8
  9. 9SMOKEM WICKED (USA)ALFREDO L. BAUTISTA · ADAN FARIAS · draw 9 · pool — · market #9—#9

What the numbers mean

Pool share and edge

The Turkish tote (TJK) takes bets on US racing; each runner's share of that win pool is the market's opinion, published before the off. The model starts from that share and adjusts it with sixteen form layers (trainer, jockey, sire, damsire, owner, last finish, form, days since, head-to-head, track record, draw, rating, weight, age, depth of history). Edge is the model probability minus the pool-implied probability, in points. A positive edge means the model likes the horse more than the crowd does.

How the model was tested

Weights were fitted by conditional logit on 7,572 US races and tested walk-forward: each block scored with weights fitted only on earlier races, 6,972 races out of sample. On its own the model does not beat the pool (-6.0 pts top-3); combined with it, top-3 coverage moves +0.4 pts and likelihood improves. Verdict: passed (marginal). The gain is calibration, not coverage: the record page shows exactly how it performs.

Layer weights: piyasa +0.73 · antrenor +0.27 · aygir +0.24 · jokey +0.23 · form3 -0.21 · damsire +0.10 · hp +0.05 · adres -0.03 · son_bitis +0.03 · n_gecmis +0.02 · sahip +0.02 · siklet +0.02 · h2h +0.01 · kgs +0.00 · draw +0.00 · yas +0.00 · son_fark +0.00

Usable, thin, blind

A race is usable when at least 70% of runners have US form on file and the field averages two or more runs; thin at 40%; otherwise blind, where no verdict is given and the order shown is the market's. Before the pool opens (TJK opens it on race morning) every race is blind.

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